I didn’t bet on the New York Mets yesterday, and I am going to betting on the Mets today, but I wished to take a couple of minutes to understand what this group is performing right now. After the Mets made the blockbuster move to get starting pitcher Marcus Stroman in the Toronto Blue Jays just before the July 31st trade deadline, then the initial backlash was fierce. Even the pundits and fans have been scratching their heads, and also on newspaper, the movement just didn’t create a great deal of sense.
The Mets were apparently out of playoff contention and were supposed to be purchasing some of their best guys including Eddie Diaz and Noah Syndergaard. Rather, they retained all their very best guys and brought in Stroman from Toronto, in a desperate bid to get back in the playoff picture. I personally saw it among the more perplexing moves of the last decade and laughed and thought to myself, average Mets move, fully assuming it would blow up in their head just like so many transactions have in the past.
And then something shifted to the Mets. They caught fire. And all the sudden this group needs to be feared from the National League. The Mets have reeled off fifteen wins in their last sixteen games and are back to the perfect side of .500 and are just a half of a game back of their second NL wild card. And it’s not just that they’re winning, it is the way they are winning. It is a different hero every night for these miracle Mets. It appears that each night they get to a position where they are going to lose and discover a way to point a successful comeback.
The amount on New York today is too high to back them as they are laying -200 with expert Jacob deGrom on the mound. But make sure you keep your eye on this group. Baseball is a funny sport, so much of it’s based around endings. When you have it, then things only seem to break up your own way. If you don’t, there are times when you can not get a win. At the moment, the Mets surely have it. For the current pick, we will visit Milwaukee where the Brewers are seeking to sweep against the Texas Rangers.
The Texas Rangers are in Milwaukee Sunday, hoping to prevent getting trapped. The Rangers have lost four straight matches, two of those into the Brewers within this show, and their season is fast winding to a closefriend. While Texas didn’t maintain the fire sale which many anticipated at the trade deadline, they also didn’t go out and acquire much ability, and the Rangers are currently nine games back of even the second wild card at the American League.
For the Brewers, they did a great job of incorporating several capable arms for their staff since they added guys like Drew Pomeranz, Jake Faria, Ray Black, and tonight’s starter Jordan Lyles. And the motions are starting to really give this squad an increase as they’ve won five consecutive matches and are now only a game and a half of the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central Division race.
Starting now for the Brewers is Jordan Lyles (7-7 4.97 ERA), also for the Rangers, it’s Mike Minor (10-6 3.06 ERA). The game total over-under is set in runs. The Brewers are -126 favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 AM PST in Miller Park in Milwaukee.
On occasion a trade just does not seem to earn a great deal of sense when it’s initially made. That was the case with all the Mets and Marcus Stroman, which was also the case when the Brewers caused starting pitcher Jordan Lyles. Lyles was struggling through a dreadful year before being transferred. In his previous four starts before getting exchanged, Lyles had gotten blasted for twenty five runs in only 1 innings worked. I really don’t know off hand what ERA that adds up to, but it is really large. And you have to rememberthis man was pitching to the Pittsburgh Pirates, at exactly the identical branch as the Brewers.
So, it was tough to expect the guy to become much better in Milwaukee because he was in Pittsburgh. But he sure has figured things out so much in Milwaukee! In his two starts with his new group, he has pitched a joint ten innings and has allowed just two earned runs, and the Brewers won the two games. Sometimes a change of scenery from a last-place team out of contention to some team directly in the mix of a pennant race is everything it can take to find a man to turn matters around.
Mike Minor is affected through the specific opposite of what Jordan Lyles is moving through in that most people expected him to have traded to a contender, and he ended up staying in Texas. Minor was a favorite trade target for many contending teams, but a deal could not be created, and here he is currently finishing out his season with a Rangers team going .
Plus it looked like the stress of possibly getting traded was wearing on Minor because he had been awful at July. Heading into July, Minor was 8-4 with a 2.40 ERA and was selected to the Al All-Star team. But during the month leading up to the trade deadline, then he was just 1-2 having a 6.59 ERA in five starts, and the Rangers went 1-4 in those five matches. Those struggles may have been what kept Minor in Texas as his worth dropped at the inappropriate moment. Minor’s first post-trade deadline begin was a good one as he pitched seven shutout innings against the Cleveland Indians.
This is an interesting game. A month ago, I’d have loved backing Minor getting pet money. However he has struggled since then, and I am not confident that he can move in and closed down a good hitting team like the Brewers. When you look at this Texas lineup, they simply aren’t the same without Joey Gallo on the field.
With Gallo sidelined with injury, this group is 28th in the majors in runs scored in the month of August. They are scoring just over three runs on the game, and they are hitting an abysmal .206 for a team. While I’m not really that convinced that Lyles could continue his great results, I also know that the Brewers will not be leaving him in the game all that long anyhow as they love to turn matters over to their bullpen in any sign of distress.
I believe Minor gets roughed up some, and the Brewers with a questionnaire of Lyles and their bullpen, find a way to take advantage of the slumping Rangers lineup and finish the sweep. I talked above about endings, and at this time, the Brewers have this, and the Rangers do not. And I am going to make the most of those trends and fire on the Brewers today. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers now as home favorites in game three from Miller Park at -126!
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